建筑幕墙钢化玻璃自爆逐渐成为一个威胁公众安全的严重问题。钢化玻璃自爆并非单一因素所致，而是硫化镍相变、热应力、机械应力等多种因素共同作用的结果，这些因素相互交织，使得自爆问题变得极为复杂，深入剖析这些因素，是理解钢化玻璃自爆现象、建立有效风险评估模型的关键。本研究综合考虑缺陷类型、尺寸、周边应力状态、所处应力区域、玻璃应力大小及环境温度等因素，构建了建筑幕墙钢化玻璃自爆风险系数的计算模型，通过将风险系数转化为自爆概率，实现对钢化玻璃自爆风险的量化评估。这种量化表达不仅为建筑业主、设计师、施工方等相关人员提供了更直观、准确的风险信息，有助于他们在建筑设计、施工和维护过程中做出科学的决策，也为政府部门制定相关的安全标准和监管政策提供了有力的数据支持。

Under the bustling facade of urban life, the spontaneous breakage of tempered glass in architectural curtain walls is gradually emerging as a serious threat to public safety. This phenomenon is not caused by a single factor but results from the interplay of multiple elements, including nickel sulfide phase transformation, thermal stress, mechanical stress, and more. These factors intertwine to make the issue extremely complex. A thorough analysis of these factors is key to understanding tempered glass spontaneous breakage and developing effective risk assessment models. This study comprehensively considers factors such as defect type, size, surrounding stress conditions, stress zone location, glass stress magnitude, and ambient temperature to construct a calculation model for the risk coefficient of architectural curtain wall tempered glass spontaneous breakage. By converting the risk coefficient into spontaneous breakage probability, the study achieves quantitative assessment of tempered glass spontaneous breakage risks. This quantitative approach not only provides building owners, designers, contractors, and other stakeholders with more intuitive and accurate risk information, aiding them in making scientific decisions during architectural design, construction, and maintenance; it also offers robust data support for government agencies in formulating relevant safety standards and regulatory policies.

TQ171; TU978

国检集团青年基金项目（编号：GJ012023037）